Can Degrowthers ally with Green New Dealers to address climate change?
Leftist opponents of 'degrowth' merge Marxist dogma with corporate greenwashing to motivate the masses to action.
This article was originally published in āZā magazine. I have adapted it for publication on SoCal Water Wars under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License. ā John Earl, editor, SoCal Water Wars.
Degrowth, a movement advocating reductions in energy and resource use across the Global North, is finding new audiences.
In Japan, Kohei Saitoās degrowth manifestoĀ Capital in the AnthropoceneĀ became a bestseller.
In Europe, members of the European Parliament sponsored a three-day āBeyond Growthā conference.
In the U.S., the socialist journalĀ Monthly ReviewĀ has come around to degrowth. In recent weeks, the topic has been covered byĀ New Statesman,Ā The New Yorker,Ā Jacobin,Ā theĀ British Medical JournalĀ andĀ The New York Times,Ā among others.
Writing inĀ New Statesman, economist Hans Stegeman proposes that the debates between degrowth and green growth are already outdated. In the present era of low GDP growth, there is no meaningful choice between the two. Instead, at least in the absence of any radical reordering of society, economies are by default transitioning toward a post-growth model.
InĀ The New Yorker, environmental activist Bill McKibben presents degrowth as a call to reduce consumption, in contrast to the Green New Deal (GND), which emphasizes production.
Evenhandedly, he opposes āendlessā growth but parts company with degrowthers when they, citing the ecological costs of all the mining required, refuse to support āan all-out push for electric vehicles (EVs), heat pumps, solar panels and wind turbines.ā
Why not do both, he asks: Invest in renewables and EVs while also restricting āwasteful consumerismā?
JacobinĀ is where we find the most vinegary views, adverted already in the title: āThe Problem With Degrowth.ā Matt Huber, a Syracuse professor whoseĀ Climate Change as Class WarĀ appeared last year, finds a few polite words for degrowthersā critique of capitalism but rejects the rest.
For Huber, degrowth is a politics of austerity.
It is anti-Marxist ā where Marxism is portrayed (idiosyncratically) as a program for the state-led ramping up of production and consumption. Scornful of degrowthersā āprohibitionā on technological development and their insistence on constraining energy use and material throughput, his counterproposal centers on the āmassive development of the productive forces.ā
Scientists note nine planetary boundaries beyond which we canāt push Earth Systems without putting our societies at risk: climate change, biodiversity loss, ocean acidification, ozone depletion, atmospheric aerosol pollution, freshwater use, biogeochemical flows of nitrogen and phosphorus, land-system change, and release of novel chemicals. ā Claire Asher, writing for Mongabay
And whereas degrowthers perceive the transgressing ofĀ planetary boundariesĀ as an existential threat, Huberās stance is laid back. One of them, the ozone hole, has already been āfixed,ā and so splendidly simply, with a change of technology.Ā All the other eightĀ ā of which climate change and biodiversity disappearance are but two ā can be fixed by āqualitative transformations of specific sectors of production.ā
To āfixā climate change, the specific sector to be transformed is energy, Huber believes.
For the U.S., he borrows āprominent modelingā from Princetonās Net-Zero America report to advocate massive investment in heat pumps and renewable energy, in carbon capture and storage (CCS), and in construction of 250 ālargeā nuclear reactors.
He sees the Princeton program as compatible with an electorally popular GND, which he contrasts with degrowthās lack of voter support.
This last critique carries a hint of projection, given that Huberās own manifesto, the nationalization of all private companies under a socialist planning regime, is hardly riding high in the polls.
All the world-transforming causes have had to be fought for, initially against the majority tide.
Getting Clear About What Degrowth Really Means
These recent appraisals of degrowth range from friendly to frosty, but they each include misrepresentations.
First off, degrowthers emphatically do not advocate recession or austerity. These flow from the dynamics ofĀ capital accumulationĀ that they critique, abhor and seek to overcome.
Drawing on socialist, anarchist, decolonial and feminist traditions, their project is societal transformation with radical redistribution, domestically and internationally, to raise living standards for the working class.
Secondly, the distinction between degrowth and the GND cannot be mapped to simple binaries, whether āreduce consumption vs. invest in production,ā āreject vs. promote new techā or āindividual sacrifice vs. collective action.ā
Many opponents of degrowth maintain that electricity should be a human right and available to all the worldās population; most degrowthers would agree. They advocate gargantuan investments in energy-efficiency technologies and renewables.
Degrowther Jason Hickel,Ā for example, calls for public investment to be targeted to churning out solar panels, heat pumps and batteries āat a historically unprecedented rate, reminiscent of the industrial retooling that enabled the allies to win the second world war.ā
A vital actor in pushing for such a program will be organized labor, and this too is recognized by degrowthers. They see powerful unions as essential allies. Workers, after all, are not wedded to endless GDP growth. Rather, their needs are human: security of life and livelihood, opportunities to flourish, respect, community, hope and, above all, a habitable planet.
In short, there isĀ no necessary oppositionĀ betweenĀ degrowth and a GND.
Degrowthers do, however, raise caveats surrounding the material implications of expansionary programs ā particularly if the whole world shares in them, as it should.
While supporting the renewables rollout, they scrutinize its material requirements ā in land, for example, or inĀ the coal-powered electricityĀ used to produce much of the clean energy infrastructure.
And where McKibben calls for an āall-out pushā for EVs, degrowthers warn of the consequences if U.S. car ownership were replicated worldwide: the tonnage of steel, plastic, lithium etc. on the worldās roads would leap by 500 percent, schlepped around in the form of 7 billion automobiles.
What could replace the bulk of cars in a degrowth (or ādegrowth-GNDā) future?
Bicycles and public transport: buses, coaches, rail. These, for degrowthers and many Green New Dealers, ought to be free of charge.
On high-speed rail, Green New Dealers such as Huber andĀ Bernie SandersĀ are vocal supporters, and many degrowthers are too ā but again, with caveats.
To construct new track,Ā colossal quantities of concreteĀ are poured, each ton releasing an equivalent tonnage of carbon dioxide (CO2). As a source of carbon emissions, only coal, oil and gas are worse, and while low-carbon concrete is beginning to come on stream, itās expensive andĀ will take years to scale up. Englandās āHS2ā project is widely, and now evenĀ officially, seen as āunachievable,ā a costly flop. China, by contrast, proves that high-speed rail rollout can be quick and successful in its own terms. Yet it arrived together with an equally rapidĀ expansion of road transport and aviationĀ that eclipsed any environmental benefits of rail.
Captured by Carbon
On all aspects of decarbonization, areas of agreement exist between degrowth and the GND, as well as divisionsĀ withinĀ each camp. Consider the trickiest industry to decarbonize: aviation.
Some GND proposals, such as theĀ Green New Deal for GatwickĀ (Britainās second airport), are compatible with degrowth; they center on the retraining of aviation workers in non-polluting industries.
Huber, by contrast, defends aviation, reserving scorn and mockery for those who believe that many airline passengers bear some responsibility for the exhaust gases from the jet fuel for which theyāve paid.
The average American takes between two and three trips by plane each year ā for, while 50-60 percent of Americans donāt fly at all in any given year, frequent flyers bring the average up. For Global South citizens, the figure is between zero and one. Given that no sustainable fuel exists that could replace kerosene in sufficient volumeĀ in the next 20 years at least, were the American way of life to be globalized, its emissions would send global heating off the charts.
Aviation, from this angle, exemplifies the title of Huberās book,Ā Climate Change as Class War, for it is highly polluting and largely consumed by the rich. But Huber does not read it in this way. He tends to defend aviation, claiming that it contributes only 2.5 percent of global emissions ā presumably unaware that this figure is industry propaganda. AviationāsĀ overallĀ contribution to global heating is in fact far greater; many researchers believeĀ by a factor of three.
Huber frames his defense of aviation in terms of the āmaterial interestsā of U.S. workers, within a class analysis that sets capitalists and workers at opposite poles, with middle classes in between, including a āprofessional-managerial classā (PMC) of scientists, tenured professors, lawyers and the like.
Many within this layer, and certainlyĀ those on six-figure salaries, belong to the richest 1 percent of the global population, a group that is responsible forĀ fully half of aviation emissions, with the average North American flying twice as far as the European andĀ 50 timesĀ as far as the average African.
In this light, Huberās aviation apologia risks appearing as a defense of the status and short-termĀ consumption interestsĀ of the worldās top 1 percent, in defiance of the long-termĀ survival interestsĀ of the worldās workers.
Digging a little further, we find that the decarbonization program championed by some anti-degrowth opponents is borrowed wholesale from BP and ExxonMobil.Ā
They are the fundersĀ of PrincetonāsĀ Carbon Mitigation InitiativeĀ and of the Net-Zero America study on which Huber bases his decarbonization program. The āprominenceā that caught his eye was furnished by dirty money.
According to internal documents available toĀ DeSmogĀ reporters, BP and the other oil giants identified carbon capture as the most persuasive ruse to ensure they can drill and pumpĀ ad infinitum.Ā
For BP, the strategy has been to leverage āacademic partnerships, including Princetonās Carbon Mitigation Initiative, which the company has directly funded and sponsored since its inception in 2000.ā
The process works to perfection. Following the example of theĀ tobacco industry, Big Oil invests in āresearchā by its tools in academia; the latter gain kudos from participating in lavishly funded projects; this greases their promotion to the top of the professorial tree, from which perch they trill hymns to carbon capture.
What the Princeton models are designed to hide is that CCS is aĀ reckless gambleĀ on aĀ speculative technology.
In most countries, CCS is unregulated. Worldwide, theĀ only plantsĀ forĀ carbon sequestrationĀ areĀ expensive,Ā tiny, unproven at scale, failingĀ toĀ meet targetsĀ andĀ potentially dangerous.
A recentĀ reportĀ on Norwayās Sleipner and SnĆøhvit pilot plants revealed unexpected behavior of CO2 in even the most intensively studied of aquifers, a reminder that the danger of leakage is all too real.
The lobby power behind CCS are the oil giants but also coal. In May this year, the National Mining Association called for a ācarbon capture moonshot.ā This is theĀ fossil-industrialĀ attempt toĀ hijack and delayĀ the decarbonization agenda.
Notable, too, in the Princeton models, is that not all include nuclear power, but the one that does proposes reaching net zero in the U.S. using CCS (of course, itās the Exxon-Princeton game plan) combined with a quadrupling of the number of ālargeā nuclear plants.
Some may assume this is reasonable, but again, look at the small print. Much power would remain fossil fueled, and only the U.S. is considered. If the current U.S. level of per capita energy consumption were rolled out worldwide and powered by nuclear plants, these would have to be multiplied 88-fold.
To visualize that, take the current number worldwide, 440, and raise it to 38,720 ā and then, if your model requires GDP growth, hike it further. Even if you prefer nuclear to supply only, say, one-quarter of the worldās energy, that would still require an increase from several hundred to nearly 10,000 nuclear power stations. Considering, in addition, that nuclearĀ is theĀ most expensive source of power, any plan promoting it appears myopic ā and thatās even before we get to the radioactive waste, in cans being endlessly kicked down the road.
Degrowth and Consumption
To paraphrase German philosopher Max Horkheimer, whoever is not prepared to talk about capitalism should also remain silent about climate change.
But what does that mean? Huber argues that climate change is āproduced [by the] small minority of capitalists who own and control the means of production.ā Other Marxists and most degrowthers would concur ā up to a point. As theĀ oft-memed quoteĀ has it, āThe Earth isnāt dying, itās being killed, and those who are killing it have names and addresses.ā
Those names, described in a recentĀ CNNĀ report as the āsuper-emitters,ā comprise a sliver of the global 1 percent ā the tycoons, moguls, bankers and presidents. Their capital structures society, enforcing its familiar mode of production.
However, capital relations also configure modes ofĀ social reproductionĀ and consumption. Capitalismās mode of consumption manifests as a realm of leisure time and individual free choice (set against the realm of production), differentiated along steep hierarchies of income, and with workersā consumption dialed down to ensure buoyant profits.
With economic growth, consumption tends upward, and this expresses simultaneously as an expansion of human needs and their āmanufactureā by capital in its interests. Capital accumulation requires a mode of consumption geared to the endless development of new consumption opportunities.
Take the case of aviation.
Fifty years ago, only the rich took flights. Now, thanks to scale economies, aviation workersā pay repression and cheap flights, a section of workers in the Global North can afford to fly.
In one sense, thatās a triumph of social democracy: The world is now accessible to us too! The elite, meanwhile, move up a level, to private jets, which may in coming decades become a new social-democratic goal albeit in diluted version:Ā Flying taxis for all!
Common Ground
To untangle the discussion around degrowth and consumption, it helps to recall the 1980s. It was the breakthrough decade of both the green movement and neoliberalism.
For the latter, individuals define their identities through consumption choices in free markets. This ethos exerted a pull on the left. A consumption-oriented environmentalism arose; its strategy exaggerated the role of consumers in general, played to those who have money with which to āexercise choice,ā andĀ aligned with corporate PRĀ campaigns that for decades had been pushing the message that individual consumers, not corporations or states, are responsible for the environmental crisis.
Yet the 1980s was also the breakout decade for the recognition that greenhouse gas emissions portend real peril. This helped to fuel a degrowth critique of capitalismās mode of consumption ā an indispensable adjunct to any critique of its mode of production. Their approach is not a liberal consumption ethic. It opposes consumerismĀ tout court, especially where it is directly harmful: cigarettes, fossil fuels.
Before the dangers of global heating and biodiversity loss became widely known, such forms of consumption as eating beef or flying to Qatar to watch a ball being kicked around in air-conditioned stadia seemed relatively innocuous. In the age of climate breakdown, they no longer do.
The knowledge thatĀ over two-thirds of deforestationĀ is attributable to animal feed and cattle agriculture, and that each flight to the World Cup released one or two tons of carbon dioxide per passenger into the atmosphere where itāll float around causing mayhem for many hundreds of years, sharply alters the ethical calculus.
How, then, to tackle what McKibben calls āwasteful consumerismā? Can the combination of factors ā scientific education, campaigning, peer pressure and governmental ānudgesā ā that persuaded millions to quit smoking convince even greater numbers to quit beef and SUVs, and to watch their local team rather than fly to matches elsewhere?
Big Oil, agribusiness and the aviation industry have followed Big Tobaccoās playbook and are lobbying hard to prevent that outcome. And because the infrastructure of our lives is far more reliant on fossil fuels than is a smokerās on tobacco, incomparably greater force will be required. That means mass movements and system change.
A world of radical democracy and equality ā of āpublic luxury and private sufficiency,ā with much less hierarchy and much more free time ā would enable historic advances in the quality of life for the masses even if some consumer goods disappear from the menu.
In that vision, degrowthers and Green New Dealers can find common ground.